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KK


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Public Bank - thestar


Public Bank third quarter profit jumps 25%

KUALA LUMPUR: Public Bank Bhd's third-quarter profit jumped 25% as contribution from overseas operations and the performance of its mutual funds grew strongly. 

The banking group, which also saw strong growth in net interest income, is projecting to maintain its earnings momentum in its final quarter. 

The group will also continue to expand its overseas operations,'' Public Bank chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow said in a statement yesterday.

The group targets to increase its fee-based activities, particularly in fund management, bancassurance and other wealth management services, by launching new products to meet the diverse investment needs of the group's customers,'' he said. 

Public Bank posted a net profit of RM543.6mil, or 16.21 sen a share, for its third quarter ended Sept 30, compared with RM436.3mil, or 13.16 sen a share, in the previous corresponding quarter. 

Revenue rose 15.4% to RM2.41bil against RM2.09bil previously while pre-tax profit improved 27.7% to RM774.4mil from RM606.3mil. 

For the nine months ended Sept 30, Public Bank posted a 20.5% growth in net profit to RM1.54bil, or 46.02 sen a share, from RM1.28bil, or 38.74 sen a share, a year earlier. 

Revenue rose 26.4% to RM6.98bil from RM5.53bil while pre-tax profit increased 23.5% to RM2.18bil from RM1.77bil. 

Public Bank said total loans expanded by an annualised rate of 19%, higher than the 17% experienced in the first half this year. 

The cost-to-income ratio fell to 32.2% in the third quarter compared with 34% in second, while net non-performing loans was 1.4% at the end of the third quarter. Loan loss coverage ratio was 112%. 

Public Mutual Bhd's total assets under management expanded by 52% from RM16.2bil at end-2006 to RM24.54bil at the end of September. Of that amount, 77% were equity-linked funds. 

Public Bank said its market share of the private unit trust industry was 36.4%. 

Public Mutual's unit trust management fees and income from the sale of trust units was RM196mil and RM133mil respectively, which were 57% and 214% higher compared with the previous corresponding period. 

In the nine months to Sept 30, trust unit sales reached a record RM8.39bil, three times more than the RM2.77bil recorded in the previous corresponding period in 2006 and more than double total sales for the whole of last year. 

Loans given by Public Bank remained focused on small and medium-scale enterprises, residential properties and passenger vehicles as these three sectors accounted for 70% of the group's total loan portfolio. 

The bank's overseas operations continued to expand rapidly as Public Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd saw loans and deposits grow by 47% and 38% respectively. 

The strong loan and deposits growth were backed by a major expansion in the branch network and brand name. Public Bank HK now has 24 branches, an increase of 11 from the 13 branches its acquired in May last year. 

In Cambodia, Cambodian Public Bank Ltd registered loan growth of 68% in the nine months to Sept 30, and opened three more branches to bring the total to eight. Public Bank also commenced its insurance operations in Cambodia during the quarter. 

In the fourth quarter, Public Bank intends to open five more branches in Hong Kong, one in Shenzhen (China), two in Cambodia, two in Laos and one in Vietnam. 



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Public Bank - BT M'sia


Public Bank Q3 net profit up 25pc

PUBLIC Bank Bhd, the country's third-largest lender, posted a 25 per cent rise in its third-quarter net profit on the back of a jump in net interest income and earnings from Islamic banking.

Net profit in the three months to September 30 2007 rose to RM543.6 million, from RM436.3 million a year earlier.

Revenue rose by 15.4 per cent to RM2.41 billion from RM2.09 billion a year ago.

Net profit for the first nine months of 2007 grew by 20 per cent to RM1.54 billion, with revenue reaching RM6.98 billion.

The bank's earnings per share improved to 46 sen for the nine-month period compared with 38.7 sen in the previous corresponding period.

"The increase in net interest income and net income from Islamic banking operations by 12 per cent to RM2.7 billion was driven by a sustained high rate of growth in both quality loans as well as customer deposits and continued improvement in asset quality," said Public Bank chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow in a statement yesterday.

Other operating income increased by 41 per cent to RM1 billion, mainly attributable to higher fee income from sales of trust units, higher unit trust fund management fees and commissions from stockbroking activities, as well as higher net gain from the sale of securities.

Loan loss allowances also decreased by RM51 million due to higher recovery of non-performing loans (NPLs).

Its net NPL ratio improved to below 1.4 per cent as at end September 2007 compared with the banking industry's rate of 3.6 per cent as at end August 2007.


Public Bank said it will continue to expand its overseas operations and aims to increase its fee-based activities, particularly in fund management, bancassurance and other wealth management service, by launching new products.

"In the fourth quarter of 2007, the group plans to further expand its branch network overseas with the opening of five branches in Hong Kong, one in Shenzhen, China, two in Cambodia, two in Laos and one in Vietnam," said Teh.

The bank expects to maintain its earnings momentum and record satisfactory performance for the rest of 2007.

"The group is not exposed to any sub-prime debt securities and has not been affected by the subprime event in the US," said Teh.


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Public Bank - thestar


Public Bank set to sustain record

It plans to go big in China

PUBLIC Bank Bhd (PBB) has the distinction of being one of the most favoured banking stocks of the investment fraternity churning out solid earnings each financial year and lining shareholders' pockets with fat dividends. 

Its asset quality is the best in the industry with net non-performing loans ratio standing at 1.5% as at end-June. This has not compromised loans growth, which has been sustaining at double-digits for some years. 

The bank's prudence has also stood it in good stead, as it was not affected by the US subprime crisis. 

The banking group's excellent performance has been recognised industry-wide bagging it many awards throughout the years, enough to fill a trophy cabinet and more.  

This expansion programme will be continued to enhance our market reach.  

We will also leverage on the existing 40 branches of Public Finance Ltd to cross-sell the banks products and services, Teh said. 

He added that PBB was also building its resources especially the sales force to aggressively penetrate the Chinese market to grow its loans.  

This was particularly in retail lending with emphasis on consumer financing such as personal loans, motor vehicle financing and mortgage financing. 

It will also focus on lending to middle market commercial businesses, particularly to small- and medium-sized enterprises. 

Looking ahead, PBB will continue to strengthen its overseas operations in Indochina and look into the feasibility of providing a wider range of financial products.  

This would be in in addition to the conventional loans and deposits.  

Teh said Indochina was a relatively untapped market with good potential to develop the financial and insurance services. 

CampuBank Lonpac, a joint venture between CampuBank, PBB and LPI Insurance Bhd commenced business operations on Aug 30 offering the full suite of general insurance products.  

We are very happy with the volume of business garnered so far in this short period of less than one month. 

Currently, there are no plans for any mergers and acquisitions. 

However, we are always open to financial-related business opportunities which have earnings sustainability and the potential to increase shareholder value, Teh said.  

As OSK Research banking analyst Chan Ken Yew puts it: PBB is not a sexy stock. It is a bit boring like any low beta (risk) stock.  

It grows slowly but very steadily and investors like it as a dividend cum growth stock. 

I can comfortably say that the group should continue to sustain its performance for the next two to three years at least.  

Its aggressive expansion overseas in Hong Kong, China and Indochina should also help boost the group's future financials. 

Such an outstanding track record raises the question of whether PBB's performance is sustainable in an increasingly competitive industry thus putting much pressure on the banking group to continue to perform. 

Chairman and founder Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow is unfazed and is confident PBB would not disappoint its shareholders. 

We intend to sustain our track record of delivering financial performance, enhancing shareholder value and rewarding shareholders with strong dividend policy.  

This will be underpinned by continued adherence to good corporate governance and transparency.  

We also see ourselves as providing more cutting edge, innovative and superior products and services supported by a well-trained and motivated sales team, he told StarBiz

Teh's vision is for PBB to remain the premier bank to be in the forefront of the Malaysian banking industry while expanding its regional presence particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. 

We believe in doing what we do best. Going forward, we will be driving our non-interest income by widening our suite of products and services. We intend to intensify our wealth management business, he said.  

One avenue is via Public Mutual Bhd. Presently, 22.6% of its fund is invested in the fast growing Asia-Pacific region, and 1.2% invested in Europe and the US.  

Teh expects Public Mutual to make further inroads to increase its market share backed by its strong distribution network and excellent fund performance track record. 

We will continue to be on the lookout for synergistic opportunities. In this light, we will be forging strategic alliances with the best in their own industries.  

We are in the midst of finalising a tie-up with a global insurance company to customise bancassurance products as unique propositions to our customers, he said. 

As part of its plan to expand its regional presence, PBB has aggressively expanded its branch network since it acquired Asia Commercial Bank Ltd (ACB) in May last year.  

ACB was subsequently renamed Public Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd. 

The total number of branches has almost doubled to 24 from 13, with 22 branches in Hong Kong and two branches in Shenzhen, China.  



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KK


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Public Bank - UOBKH


4 Sep 2007

Public Bank
(HOLD/RM9.25(L), RM9.70 (F)/ Fair: RM10.10)


More aggressive into insurance business

Public Bank has set up a 55% subsidiary CampuBank Lonpac Insurance Pls in Cambodia to undertake general insurance business. The balance 45% owns by LPI Capital, which owned by same major shareholder Tan Sri Datuk Dr. Teh Hong Piow.


Non-interest income to drive revenue growth.
 This expansion is in line with management's strategy to drive higher non-interest income (non-II), which is currently 25% of total operating revenue (vs Bumiputra-Commerce and Maybank of >30%).  As we have highlighted in our previous note, non-II would be used to drive its revenue going forward as the competition in the credit market is getting intense. Key focus for these segments are: -


·        
Unit trust operation. Public Bank's unit trust net asset value and net sales are growing strongly to generate a stable and rising fees income.
·        Rolling out more structural products for its banking unit.
·        Venturing into the bancassurance business. We understand Public Bank is in the final stage of forming a bancassurance JV with a leading international insurance company.  

Double-digit growth intact.
 Earnings grew 18% yoy in 1H07.  This double-digit earnings growth momentum is expected to continue
, leveraging on continued strong loan and deposit growth, continued growth in non-interest income (non-II) and stable net interest margin.

Public Bank local share is trading at RM9.25/share or  45sen lower than foreign share price of RM9.70and 8.4% upside to our fair value of RM10.10. This could be a good entry price for a potential final gross dividend of 45sen/share (or 4.9% yield).

Maintain HOLD for Public Bank's good dividend yield. We are expecting a net profit of M2,064.3m (EPS: 59.6sen), RM2,471.1m (71.4sen) and RM2,856.4m (82.5) for FY07, FY08 and FY09 respectively.  



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Public Bank - thestar


16 Aug 07

Chairman: Public Bank not exposed to US subprime mortgage market

KUALA LUMPUR: THE Public Bank group has no exposure to the US subprime mortgage market and expects this year to be another year of strong performance, said chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow. 

"The Public Bank group's overall operations, including its Labuan Offshore Bank and overseas operations in Hong Kong and China, Indochina and Sri Lanka have absolutely no exposure to the US subprime mortgage market segment whether directly or indirectly in its investment portfolio," he said in a statement. 

The unit trust funds managed by Public Mutual also do not have any direct or indirect investment in the US subprime mortgage market. 

Teh expects the group's loans growth to be sustained at the annualised rate of 17% as achieved in the first half of the year. 

"The group's customer deposits continue to grow strongly. Asset quality is expected to remain strong.  

"Currently, the group's net non-performing loan ratio is only 1.5% the lowest in the banking industry in Malaysia. 

"With its healthy loan to deposit ratio of 75%, the group is very liquid," he said.
 

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Public Bank - UOBKH


14 Aug 07

Upside To Dividend In Sight

We foresee possible dividend upside from Public Bank based on its recent
corporate strategy and development plans.

Higher dividend payout expected.
Gross dividend yield could be a higher-than expected 7-9% for 2007-09 on the back of the following:

(1)
100% earnings distribution as Public Bank's statutory reserve is expected to hit 100% of paid up capital by 2007,

(2) Capital mangement. Ability to issue Tier-1 non-innovative capital and subdebts (up to RM2b), and

(3) Reserves to be released from adoption of Basell II and FRS139. Due to its high loan loss coverage and exposure to consumer and small & midsized enterprise (SME) loans, more reserves are expected to be released from its reserves on the adoption of Basel II and FRS 139. Management has indicated that the Group's risk-weighted capital adequacy ratio will strengthen by 60-70bp and 120bp for Basel II and FRS 139 respectively.This could lead to a release of RM1.7b, or 49 sen/share, from its reserves, which could be a potential capital repayment.

Double-digit growth intact. Earnings grew 18% yoy in 1H07. This double-digit earnings growth momentum is expected to continue leveraging on continued strong loan and deposit growth, continued growth in non-interest income (non-II) and stable net interest margin.

Earnings estimates for 2008, 2009 and 2010 are adjusted to RM2,064.3m (+0.5%), RM2,471.1m (+6.5%) and RM2,856.4m (+7.5%) respectively. Maintain HOLD for Public Bank's good dividend yield. The current price could be a good entry price. Public Bank is expected to declare a total gross dividend of 70 sen/share, or a final dividend of 45 sen/share, for 2007, or another dividend yield of 4-5%. We maintain our fair price at RM10.10.


-- Edited by KK at 15:39, 2007-08-14

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19 Jul 07

2Q07: Another Record Quarter

Public Bank's 2Q07 net profit rose 14.7% yoy and 10.1% qoq to RM524.1m, the highest quarterly earnings ever and the first to pass the RM500m mark. Results are within market and our expectations.

Record 2Q07 net profit
of RM524.1m is the second consecutive record quarterly profit made. It was achieved despite lower net interest margin (NIM) and higher operating cost. Earnings growth was also led by higher contributions from non-interest income (non-II) for two consecutive quarters. The record earnings were achieved on the back of the following:

Higher non-II boosted by unit trust operation. Non-II went up 35% yoy, but stayed flat qoq, to RM349m. Key drivers were strong management fee income from unit trust operation, brokerage fees and a net investment gain of RM20.6m.

SME loans drove double-digit growth. Given loan growth of 3.9% in 2Q07 and 4.4% in 1Q07, an annualised growth of 17% was achieved. In 1H07, loan growth was mainly driven by business loans, most of which were extended to small and mid-sized enterprises (SME). Household loans constituted 61% of total loans, up 6.0% in 1H07.

25-sen gross dividend.
Public Bank declared a gross interim dividend of 25 sen/share, or 2.5% yield. We expect another 50 sen final dividend and a total of 70 sen, or a yield of 6.9%. Core capital and risk-weighted capital ratios remained strong at 8.5% and 13.7% respectively. Management does not rule out potential capital-raising exercises through hybrid capital for better capital management and further ROE improvement.

Management expects earnings growth momentum to continue in 2H07, led by strong loan and non-II growth. We expect EPS of 59.3 sen, 67.0 sen and 76.8 sen for FY07, Fy08 and FY09 respectively. Maintain HOLD for Public Bank's good dividend yield. Entry price is RM8.60.


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Public Bank - BT M'sia


18 Jul 07

Public Bank H1 net profit hits RM1b

PUBLIC Bank Bhd posted a net profit of RM524.1 million in the second quarter ended June, up 14.7 per cent from the RM456.9 million profit in the same quarter a year ago.

This boosted the banking group's half-year net profit to RM1 billion for the first time, up from RM845.3 million in the corresponding period a year ago.

The Public Bank group, which has 6.5 million depositors, also announced an interim dividend of 25 per cent less 27 per cent tax, involving a payout of RM612.5 million.

Quarterly revenue surged 41.1 per cent to RM2.4 billion from RM1.7 billion previously on higher loans growth, keen interest from consumers in its vehicle and housing hire purchase products, robust unit trust and other fund activities, and also Islamic banking.

Analysts said at this rate, Malaysia's third largest lender may hit a record RM2 billion net profit for the full financial year ending December 2007.

Public Bank managing director Datuk Seri Tay Ah Lek said the bank expects loan growth of 17 per cent in 2007, compared with industry average of 6.4 per cent.

"Sources of strong loan demand will come from consumers, small and medium scale enterprises (SMEs) and micro-enterprises," he told reporters yesterday at the bank's headquarters in Kuala Lumpur.

Tay said the optimism is based on the country's positive economic performance, low inflation, steady interest rates and still buoyant consumer sentiment.

The property sector's strong performance will also continue to sustain in the remaining second half of the year coupled with new and second-hand car sales.

"The bank will continue to offer competitive pricing, embark on aggressive advertisements and promotions and offer new innovative products," said Tay.

He said the bank will bolster its sales force, repackage financial products to make it more attractive and leverage on the strength of its 240 branch network nationwide.

As at June 2007, the bank's total asset had grown 10 per cent to RM162 billion, while customer deposits totalled RM123.2 billion. Public Bank also had a market share of 13.8 per cent in the loan growth segment.

The bank has trimmed its gross non-performing loans (NPLs) to RM1.56 billion or a net NPL ratio of 1.5 per cent, from RM1.57 billion in 2006 or net NPL ratio of 1.6 per cent.

Customer deposits are forecast to grow 20.4 per cent in 2007 compared to the industry average of 18.6 per cent. It had a market share of 14.3 per cent in this segment as at June 2007.

Its fund management business grew to over RM22 billion from RM16.1 billion in 2006, and currently handles 45 fund products. On overseas operations, Tay said the bank aims to open 70 branches in China and Hong Kong by year-end from 64 right now, 10 in Cambodia from seven currently and three in Laos from 1 at present.

"We want to maximise growth opportunities in Malaysia, Hong Kong and Indochina and continue fee-based activities such as fund management, bancassurance and wealth management activities," said Tay.

The bank's wholly-owned Islamic banking arm, meanwhile, should be set up as early as year-end, he said.


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Public Bank - thestar


13 Jun 07

Public Bank unit gets Vietnam PMs Award

KUALA LUMPUR:Public Bank Bhds subsidiary in Vietnam, VID Public Bank, has received the Vietnam Prime Ministers Award. 

In a statement yesterday, the banking group said the award was given to Public Bank in recognition of its outstanding performance and contribution to the development of Vietnam. 

VID Public Bank, which was established in 1992, is a joint venture between Public Bank and state-owned Bank for Investment and Development of Vietnam. The bank currently has six branches in Vietnam. 

Public Bank group currently has overseas operations in Hong Kong, China, Cambodia, Vietnam, Sri Lanka and Laos. Its international operations contributed 14% to group pre-tax profit last year. The group hopes to open 10 to 15 branches in Hong Kong this year. It is also targeting to set up at least five and two new branches in Cambodia and Laos respectively


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30 May 07

Public Bank 'best-managed company' in M'sia, says poll

PETALING JAYA: Public Bank Bhd has emerged tops in a poll held by financial markets publication Finance Asia, for the best managed company in Malaysia. 
It also came up first in a number of other categories. 

In second place under Malaysia's best-managed company category was IOI Corp Bhd, followed by the country's second largest banking group Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings Bhd (BCHB). British American Tobacco (M) Bhd (BAT Malaysia) and Maxis Communications Bhd took the fourth and fifth place respectively. 

The best mid-capital companies in Malaysia were media group Media Prima Bhd and Uchi Technologies Bhd. Mesdaq board-listed Carotech Bhd was named the best small-cap company. 

The annual Finance Asia poll, which attempts to identify Asia's top companies according to certain criteria, takes in the votes of the Asia Pacific's investors and analysts, was published on Tuesday. 

The banks were also recognised for commitment to corporate governance, with Public Bank and BHHB taking the top two spots. IOI Corp was ranked third, followed by BAT Malaysia. 

The poll also indicated that BHCB was the company with the best investor relations, followed by Public Bank, Tanjong Plc, Genting Bhd and Media Prima Bhd. 

For the category of companies most committed to delivering good dividends, the top three spots were taken by Public Bank, BAT Malaysia, Berjaya Corp Bhd. 

BCHB, in a statement, said that its debut into the poll, was seen as a vote of confidence for BHCB's business model as well as that of the CIMB group as it continues to drive value from the merger and integration exercises it undertook of Bumiputra-Commerce Bank and Southern Bank. 

The polls also included a Best CFO category to recognise best-performing chief financial officers. IOI Corp's Datuk Yeo How topped the list followed by Tenaga Nasional Bhd's Mohd Izzaddin Idris, which was an indication that widely-publicised government-linked companies reforms are starting to drive financial improvements and related company performance.


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17-Apr-2007

Public Bank first-quarter net profit up 23%

KUALA LUMPUR: Public Bank Bhd registered group net profit of RM476mil in the first quarter ended March 31, up 23% over the same period last year. 
Turnover was up 31% to RM2.21bil from RM1.69bil, while pre-tax profit added 24% to RM675mil against RM545.7mil a year ago. 

Chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow said in a statement that the improved profit was attributable to growth in net interest income, net income from Islamic banking operations and other operating income as well as lower loan loss allowances, partially offset by an increase in other operating expenses. 

The net profit attributable to shareholders for the quarter under review increased by 7% compared with the preceding quarter to Dec 31, 2006. Annualised net return on equity improved further to 22.9% from 21.9% previously. 
Teh said Public Bank's earnings per share (EPS) increased by 20% to 14.2 sen in the first quarter of 2007 compared with 11.8 sen in the previous corresponding quarter.   The banking group's first quarter EPS was well above analysts' EPS estimates of 13.85 sen. The annualised consensus for Public Bank's EPS was 55.4 sen. 

As at end-March, the group's total assets expanded by RM9.52bil, or 6%, to RM157.3bil. Its total loans and advances grew 4.4% to RM88.1bil, increasing its market share to 13.6% against 13.2% at end-2006. 
The group's net non-performing loan ratio remained below 1.6% as at end-March, with loan loss coverage standing at 102%, which is the highest and most prudent in the Malaysian banking industry. Public Mutual Bhd's total assets under management increased by 14% to reach RM18.46bil while total sales of unit trusts reached a record high of RM2.22bil in the first quarter of 2007. 

On the group's prospects, Teh said Public Bank group would strive to increase its domestic market share in consumer financing and retail commercial lending to small and medium enterprises as well as its deposit-taking business by leveraging on its wide branch network, strong PB Brand and continuing to expand overseas operations.  
It will also expand its fee-based activities particularly in fund management, bancassurance and other wealth management products.

thestar



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Public Bank


Extracts fm HLG report dated 23-Jan-07,

4QFY06 results – another record breaking year

Another good year

Public Bank’s FY06 results came in 3% above consensus and 6% above our estimates with net profit of RM1,726.7m (+17.3% yoy). The main drivers to its earnings were its strong loan growth, higher unit trust sales and relatively low loan loss provisions. Net NPL ratio stood at 1.6%, way below industry average while its loan losses were almost fully covered at 99.9%. Loan loss provisions were higher yoy mainly due to an additional net specific allowance of RM29.2m to account for aged NPLs and the first time adoption of 20% specific provisions on NPLs <6 months.

30sen final dividend + 10sen special dividend – in line with expectations

A 30sen final dividend and 10sen special dividend was declared based on 84% payout ratio. Full year dividend of 60sen translates to 7% yield. RWCAR after dividends stood at 14%, still above Public Bank’s comfort zone. We project DPS of 80sen, 90sen for FY07-08, and introducing a DPS of RM1.00 for FY09E providing yields of 9.4-11.8% for the period based on a 85% dividend payout assumption.

Visible deliverables going forward

We expect further growth from its Hong Kong and Greater China operations mainly from expected synergies post acquisition of Public Bank Hong Kong. We believe that Public Bank will continue to deliver robust earnings, growth and dividends. Loan growth will be driven by SMEs, mortgages and hirepurchase. Our loan growth assumptions remains unchanged at 15% for FY07E, reducing to 12% for FY08E and introducing 10% growth for FY09E. Our earnings are upgraded by 8-13% to account for higher non-interest income growth and we introduce FY09E estimates.

Maintain Buy; TP upgraded to RM9.80 – yield driven

Maintain BUY on Public Bank with an upgraded TP of RM9.80 (from RM8.35) pegged to 3.8x FY07E PNTA. Our target price of RM9.80 implies a 3.0x FY07E PBV, which is not unreasonable given Public Bank’s historical trading bands and comparing with that of HK/China banks which are trading at 2.7-3.2x FY07E PBV. Additionally, the premium multiple can be backed by Public Bank’s high ROE, high dividend yield, unbroken track record of profitability, the strongest asset quality among its peers, strong management and healthy growth prospects. In addition, we believe a structural re-rating could arise from the expansion of its overseas business which has been profitable and remains a significant contributor to group earnings.



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thestar, January 23, 2007

PBB net profit up 18%

KUALA LUMPUR: Public Bank Bhd (PBB) reported a 18% jump in net profit to RM1.73bil as revenue soared 34% to RM7.84bil for the year ended Dec 31.  For the fourth quarter to Dec 31, its net profit grew to RM445.1mil on revenue of RM2.23bil, compared with RM392.7mil and RM1.54bil respectively in the previous corresponding period.  The group proposed a final dividend of 30 sen and special dividend of 10 sen per share, bringing the full year dividend to 60 sen. 

Chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow said the growth was mainly due to growth in net interest income and net income from Islamic banking operations and higher operating income.  “The higher operating income is also partially offset by an increase in other operating expenses and higher loan loss allowances,” he said in a statement read by managing director Datuk Seri Tay Ah Lek at a media briefing yesterday. 

He said that for 2007, the group targets a 15% increase in domestic loans from a base of RM84.4bil in 2006. It recorded a domestic loan growth of 17.5% for 2006.  “We will continue to focus on the retail sector and consumer lending as retail forms 71% of our total loan portfolio,” Tay said.  He said for the consumer sector, the group would focus on residential mortgagesand hire purchase for car financing.  On retail commercial loans, the focus would be on small and medium enterprises.  On the group’s deposit growth, Tay said the bank would continue to aggressively promote growth in current and savings accounts, which would be supplemented by wholesale deposits such as negotiable interest deposits.  On overseas operations, Tay said the group would open at least 10 branches in Cambodia and 15 more in Hong Kong. He added that the group would open its second branch in Shenzhen next month. 

Its loan and deposit growth forecast for Hong Kong is 30%, with continued efforts to strengthen its marketing team there, he added. For 2006, the group recorded a 23.9% loan growth in Hong Kong. 

Tay also said PBB expected increased competition in the industry to have great pressure on net interest margins.  “We will continue to generate high volumes in lending activities, increase and promote deposit-taking activities to offset pressure on margins,” he said.  This will involve aggressive promotion of unit trust funds, bancassurance products and improved cost efficiency. 

Tay added that to sustain profitability, PBB would continue to pursue its strategy of high organic loan and deposit growth, improved cost efficiency and maintaining strong asset quality. 



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thestar, Thursday October 19, 2006

Public Bank is cost effective

PETALING JAYA: The Public Bank group has demonstrated superior cost management, with its cost to income ratio capped at below 36% - one of the lowest among its banking peers, according to OSK Research. 

The research house in its latest research note said loan loss provisions were, however, higher than expected due to higher general allowance in tandem with the higher loans growth achieved.  It said the group had adopted more stringent provisioning for its non-performing loans by making a 20% specific allowance on non-performing loans (NPLs) that were three to less than six months in arrears. Loan loss coverage was at an impressive 99.8% while net NPL ratio continued to remain low at 1.52%, the research house added. 


Following the completion of a hybrid capital raising exercise, the group's core capital ratio and risk-weighted capital ratio had improved to 8.3% and 13.2% respectively from 7.7% and 12.7% in the previous quarter.  Gross loans grew 20% during the first nine months compared with OSK's full year forecast of 20.1%.   Excluding loans arising from the acquisition of Public Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd, the group achieved an annualised loans growth of 18%, said the research house. 

Its positive view is backed by solid loans growth, efficiency as well as asset quality.  

AmResearch said the bank's third quarter earnings was in line with expectations, despite having adopted a more prudent specific provisioning policy on its NPLs.   The incidence of new NPLs stood at only 0.2% of total gross loans, AmResearch said. It pointed out that the bank had boosted its capital back to the 13.2% level with the issuance of US$200mil Tier 1 capital securities.  

With this and strong earnings growth of more than 17%, the research house expects full year dividend to be at least 60 sen, giving the stock a yield of 9%. 



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thestar, Wednesday October 18, 2006

Public Bank Q3 net profit up 24% on strong loans growth

KUALA LUMPUR: Public Bank Bhd reported a 24% rise in third-quarter net profit as loans grew strongly for financing small and medium enterprises (SMEs), vehicle hire purchase and residential mortgages. The group was expecting further improvement in its market share of loans, deposits and unit trusts, especially in the consumer and SME markets in the final quarter, the bank said in a statement to Bursa Malaysia yesterday. 

In its filing, Public Bank reported a net profit of RM432.4mil, or 13.04 sen a share, during its third quarter ended Sept 30, compared with RM347.9mil, or 10.6 sen a share, during the previous comparative period. Revenue improved by 40% to RM2.14bil from RM1.53bil and pre-tax profit jumped 20.2% to RM601.4mil from RM500.4mil. 

For the nine months to Sept 30, net profit improved by 20% to RM1.27bil, or 38.44 sen a share, from RM1.06bil, or 32.34 sen a share, in the previous comparative period. 

“The higher profit was mainly attributable to the increase in net interest income and net income from Islamic banking operations, as well as higher other operating income, partially offset by the increase in other operating expenses and higher loan loss allowances,” said chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow. He said Public Bank adopted a more stringent provisioning for its non-performing loans (NPLs) in its third quarter by making a 20% specific allowance on NPLs, which were three to less than six months in arrears, resulted in an additional specific allowance of RM12mil being recognised in the quarter. 

Excluding the loans arising from the acquisition of Public Bank (Hong Kong) Ltd (formerly Asia Commercial Bank Ltd) of RM4.3bil, the group achieved an annualised loans growth of 18%. Net NPL ratio improved to below 1.6% in September 2006 compared with 1.7% at Dec 31, 2005. 

“The group’s lending activities continued to be focused on the retail sector, with consumer loans for the financing of residential properties and transport vehicles as well as commercial lending to SMEs accounting for 71% of the group’s total loan portfolio as at Sept 30,” Teh said. 

Loans for residential properties grew by 24% to RM22.2bil while loans for the purchase of transport vehicles increased by 14% to RM22.6bil at Sept 30. 

Teh said that in the first nine months of 2006, the group expanded its customer deposits by 28% to RM107.5bil and that the higher deposit growth improved the group’s liquidity, as reflected by the loans to deposits ratio of 74.5% as at Sept 30 as compared with 79.4% as at Dec 31, 2005. 



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Public Bank - UOBKayHian


Extracts fm UOB Kay Hian Report dated 24-Jul-06,

2Q06: Record Profit


2Q06 net profit rose to a record high of RM452.7m, up 17% qoq and 24% yoy, above our and market expectations. The strong earnings was boosted by higher-than-expected non-interest income (Non-II) and contribution from Islamic Banking (RM113m, +7% qoq and +13% yoy).

Double-digit loans growth. Loans grew 10.3% in 2Q06, bringing 1H06 loans growth to 15.0%. Loans growth was boosted by the earlier completion of the acquisition of Public Bank (HK) (former Asia Commercial Bank). Excluding Public Bank (HK), loans grew 8.6%. We have thus raise our full year loans growth forecast from 19% to 22%.

Earnings momentum to continue. 2H06 earnings will be supported by strong loans growth and stable margin. Although sector loans growth is expected to slow in 2H06, Public Bank, with its strong retail franchise, is not expected to be severely impacted. Its NIM will be maintained if not inch up slightly on the back of an expected interest hike (by 25-50bp) in 2H06.

EPS revised upwards. We raise FY06 and FY07 net profit estimates to 51.5sen (from 46.2sen) and 55.1sen (from 51.7sen) respectively to reflect the contribution from Public Bank (HK) and higher contributions from Non-II and Islamic Banking.

Maintain HOLD for its good annual dividend yield of 7-9% The bank declared an interim gross dividend of 20sen/share or a dividend yield of 3%. Given that management expects to raise hybrid tier-1 in 3Q, 2H dividend could be higher. Our entry price is RM6.05.



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Public Bank


TheStar,

Public Bank on aggressive expansion in HK and China

Public Bank Bhd, which reported a 24% increase in its second quarter net profit from a year earlier, is embarking on an aggressive expansion of its banking business in Hong Kong and China. It aims to double the loan book of Public Bank (HK) Ltd within the next two years and expand the number of branches by 10.  Public Bank (HK), which has a loan book of HK$10bil currently, is also seeking to add a branch in Shenzhen. Proposals to add branches in Hong Kong and China are awaiting approval from regulators. Public Bank (HK), formerly known as Asia Commercial Bank Ltd, has 12 branches in Hong Kong and one in Shenzhen. “We are not happy with the past growth rate and are taking an aggressive approach to grow the business by focusing on the retail market,'' said Public Bank managing director Datuk Seri Tay Ah Lek at the announcement of the group's first half year financial results yesterday. Tay said Public Bank (HK) would be more aggressive in the consumer segment, mid-market enterprises and would look at strengthening its deposit taking activities. The targeted increase in the loan book of Public Bank (HK) is from the existing branch network of 12 and not based on the enlarged operations. New revenue-generating staff was being recruited, while existing staff of the bank would be more proactively managed, Tay said, adding that there would be no layoffs. 

He said Public Bank's other unit in Hong Kong, Public Financial Holdings Ltd, would also be leveraged upon to grow the business of Public Bank (HK).  Public Bank (HK)'s proposal to expand its network would be via the conversion of 10 existing Public Financial Holdings branches into Public Bank (HK) branches.  The group is also seeking approval from regulators is to conduct the business of Public Bank (HK) at Public Financial Holdings branches. Tay said Shenzhen would be the stepping stone of the Public Bank group into China and the group would pursue growth opportunities as the market liberalised. 

The group submitted its proposals some time ago and hoped to get the nod from regulators during the current half year. The opening of a second branch in Shenzhen, subject to approval and manpower availability, is slated for the first half of next year. Public Bank yesterday reported a 24% rise in net profit to RM452.7mil, or 13.68 sen a share, in the second quarter ended June 30 from RM366.2mil, or 11.19 sen a share, from the previous corresponding quarter. 

Revenue increased to RM1.8bil from RM1.4bil a year ago and pre-tax profit improved by 17% to RM609.7mil from RM521.3mil.  The group also announced an interim dividend of 20% less tax, which would see the group pay RM477mil to shareholders.  “The improved profit was mainly contributed by the increase in net interest income, net income from Islamic banking operations as well as higher other operating income. This was partially offset by the increase in other operating expenses and higher general allowance on loans,'' said Public Bank chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow in a statement. 

For the half-year ended June 30, Public Bank's domestic loans and advances increased by 8.4% or RM5.5bil to RM70.7bil. This resulted in the group's market share of domestic loans rising to 12.6% from 12% at the end of 2005.  Loans to the retail sector, with consumer loans for residential properties and motor vehicles, along with commercial lending to SMEs, amounted to 71% of the group's total loan portfolio at end-June. 

Together with the acquisition of Public Bank (HK), loans growth for the six months to end June was 14.9%. The group is targeting its loans to grow by a minimum 15% this year and 13% for its 2007 financial year. 





Net non-performing loans ratio improved to 1.6% from 1.7% at the end of December while loan loss coverage increased to 98% at end-June from 92% at the end of last year. 

On the group's prospects, Teh said the Malaysian economy was expected to maintain its growth momentum despite challenges from higher global interest rates and oil prices.  “Public Bank group will continue to build on the momentum of its strong loans growth, whilst maintaining strong asset quality by keeping to the group's uncompromising prudent credit standards and practices,'' he said in the statement. 



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Public Bank - UOB Kay Hian


Extracts fm UOB Kay Hian Report dated 21-Jul-06,


2Q06: Record profit

Public Bank reported its record high profit in 2Q06, with net earnings of RM452.7m, up 17% qoq and 24% yoy. This is its record quarterly profit and growth. Earnings were above our and market expectations. Strong earnings were boosted by higher than expected non-interest income (non-II) and contribution from Islamic Banking (RM113m, +7% qoq and +13% yoy).

High earnings boosted by strong non-II growth. Non-II up by 26% qoq and 23% yoy to RM289m (or +RM54m). 1H06 non-II contributed RM519m up 20% from 1H05 and is the highest growth revenue contributor. Growth was supported by higher commission & fees generated from the banking services and management fees from unit trust. This also includes an unrealised gain on revaluation of RM37m (vs RM17.6m in 1H05), which is a non-recurrent item. However, management is confidence continue to grow non-II from higher trade services for SME and unit trust businesses.

Net interest margin (NIM) stabilised. Rising overnight policy rate (OPR) (80bp since Nov 05) provides a relief to strong margin pressure. Public Bank posted a NIM of 2.42% in 2Q and has stabilised at this level since 4Q05. NIM is expected to maintain at this level on the back asset-liability repricing lag effect on rising OPR. Couple with the strong loan growth of 10.3% in 2Q (incorporated Public Bank (HK)'s loan book), net interest income (NII) rose by 8% qoq and 18% yoy to RM726m. In 1H06, NII stands at RM1.4b, up 15% yoy.

Double digits loan growth in 2Q. Loans growth grew 10.3% in 2Q06, bringing the 1H06 loan growth to 14.9%. Loan growth came in significantly higher than expected due to the incorporation of Public Bank (Hong Kong) in Jun 06. Acquisition of Asia Commercial Bank (renamed to Public Bank (HK)) completed earlier than expected has boosted its loan growth by 630bp. Exclude Public Bank (HK) loan grew by 8.6%. We have revised our full year loan forecast from 19% to 22% to incorporate the contribution from Public Bank (HK).

Another record low NPLs. Thanks to its prudent credit standards, 2Q06 gross NPL ratio improved from 2.0% in the previous quarter to 1.9%. ?Net NPL ratio was improved from 1.7% in 1Q06 to 1.6%. Lowest in the banking sector. Loan loss coverage (LLC) continued to increase and remained as the most prudent bank with a LLC ratio of 98.1%.

Earnings momentum to continue. 2H06 earnings will be supported by strong loan growth and stable margin. Although, sector loan growth is expected to slow down in 2H06, Public Bank with its strong consumer franchise is not expected to be severely impacted. Its NIM to maintain if not inch up slightly on the back of expected interest hike in 2H06 (by 25-50bp).

EPS for FY06, FY07 and FY08 are revised upward by 9-14% to 52.4sen (from 46.2sen), 58.6sen (from 51.7sen) and 62.4sen (from 57.6sen) respectively. This is to reflect the incorporation of Public Bank (HK). Maintain HOLD for its good dividend yield of 7-9% per annum. Declared an interim gross dividend of 20sen/share or a dividend yield of 3%.



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Public Bank


Extracts fm UOB Kay Hian Report dated 18-Jul-06,

Banking
More competition from foreign banks with shared-ATM service

Four foreign banks have jointly launched a shared automated teller machine (ATM) service to provide their banks customers with access to more than 300 ATMs in Malaysia. Foreign banks are now not only allowed to open more branches, they are also setup its owned share ATM service to improve their accessibility and locality. Shared ATM service was launched by four (4) key foreign players, i.e. HSBC, Stanchart, UOB and OCBC.

Foreign banks are now competing at the same level playing field with the local banks with the launched of the shared ATM service and allowance to open new branches. Since the liberalisation on branches in Dec 06, HSBC and Citibank have taken the lead to open a new branch in non-urban area, i.e. Semenyih, Selangor (HSBC) and Bukit Tengah, Seberang Prai (Citibank).

Advantage of the accessibility of the local banks via their wide nationwide branches and ATM network is diminishing. To be competitive, local banks are now required to be more creative in introducing new products at a competitive rate and services to maintain their market share. Although, local banks have increased their market shares after the first merger, foreign banks with wider coverage now could easily leverage on its parentage for capital and talent supports to role our new products and services.

Local banks that show greater potential to compete with the foreign banks are those with strong parentage to provide them the capital and talent support. Banks with strong shareholders are Maybank (Permodalan Nasional Berhad), Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings (Khazanah) and Malaysian Plantations (Alliance Bank, owned by Temasek)



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Public Bank - HLG


Extracts fm HLG Report dated 12-Jun-06,

A ‘must-have' dividend stock


Dividend intact despite exposure with in HK/China
We rationalise our dividend forecasts for Public Bank at 50sen per share
based for FY06E-08E (previously 45sen, 50sen and 55sen respectively). We believe with the recent proposed capital raising exercise for a Hybrid Tier-1 capital (approximately RM1bn) to offset the necessary impact for capital used for the acquisition of Asia Commercial Bank (“ACB”). RWCR with the Hybrid Tier-1 Capital is estimated to be approximately 14%-15%.

Loan growth expected to be subdued but still ahead of industry average
We expect Public Bank to continue to leverage on its retail loan base. While we expect loan growth to gradually moderate yoy, we nevertheless still believe that Public Bank will maintain its loan growth above industry average. We have assumed loan growth to be 15% in FY06E, 12% in FY07E and 10% in FY08E (FY05: 20%). Risk to our assumptions on loan growth would depend on the overall interest rate cycle and consumer sentiments. At this juncture, we believe that our assumptions are reasonable.


Proven pick – for asset quality, management and growth
We like Public Bank for its excellent asset quality – till now, it is still the lowest in the industry – and we expect it to remain stable. We do note that absolute NPLs have been gradually on a rise but we gather these are habitual NPLs i.e. those sitting around the 1 – 2 month ageing profile. However, so long as Public Bank is able to sustain its growth momentum, asset quality would remain stable. We view Public Bank having quality management in raging through the Asian crisis and maintaining its turf in the retail banking segment as well as strong credit quality culture, and as such able to deliver sturdy growth.


Maintain Buy with upside of 11% coupled with dividend yield of 7.9%
We believe that Public Bank is a must-have for a dividend yielding stock. We believe that Public Bank would still be able to maintain its dividend payout records. At 50 sen per share and based on the latest closing price, Public Bank stands out with a dividend yield of 7.9%. Our revised target price of RM7.00 (downgrade from RM7.91 purely due to change in valuation methodology) is pegged to 3.0x FY06E PNTA based on ROE-g/COE-g assuming 18% ROE, 5% growth (g) and 9.2% COE. We believe that a PNTA valuation methodology is more suitable during this phase. Buy – accumulate on weakness at current price. Prefer Public Bank to Maybank for dividends.


Public Bank (PBK MK)
RM6.30

Maintain Buy



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Public Bank - UOBKayHian


More branches for foreign banks

Locally incorporated foreign banking institutions (FBIs) are now allowed to open more branches in non-urban areas. This liberalistion came after allowing four additional branches within a year announced on 29 Dec 06. Earlier liberalisation is to allow the FBIs to open four additional branches at a predetermined ratio of 1 (market centres): 2 (semi-urban): 1 (non-urban).

Currently there are 13 FBIs in Malaysia but only five are aggressive players, i.e., Citibank, HSBC, OCBC, Stanchart and UOB. Currently, these five FBIs are capturing 18-20% of the total loan and consumer loan market share in Malaysia. New branches from the FBIs are expected to kick off in 2H06.

Rising competition. Currently, FBIs have mitigated the limitations of distribution network by relying on aggressive marketing, outsource sales, mobile sales force and internet banking. With more branches to come to expand their distribution network coupled with their aggressive marketing, competition in the banking sector will be more intense. This will continue to suppress the banks' net interest margin and earnings growth. This will also drive the local banks to improve their innovative and efficient to compete with the foreign players who have the advantage of capital support from their strong parent company and international banking network (for products and management talent).

Local banks are increasing their presence too. Local banks also have showed improvement in efficiency and competitiveness. They have increased their loan market share significantly from 58% in 2001 to 66% in 2005. The greatest improvement came from Public Bank and Bumiputra-Commerce Holdings (BCHB).

Competition to drive M&As. With the acceleration in the liberalisation in the financial sector, there will be more speculations on potential M&As after the merger of BCHB and SBB. The aggressiveness of the FBIs has put a lot of pressure on local banks to build up their competitiveness and capability. Thus, M&As could be driven by local banks looking to lower cost, expand market share, enter new business segments or venture into the region for future growth. The acquirer is likely to be choosy in selecting the right partner at the right price. The advantage will lie with banks that have strong institutional shareholders to provide the capital support. Among local banks, BCHB and Malaysian Plantations (MPlant) have the strong parentage to support (Khazanah and Temasek respectively) for the expansion.



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Public Bank


thestar

Public Bank buys rest of Public Mutual shares

KUALA LUMPUR: Public Consolidated Holdings Sdn Bhd has agreed to acquire 10% of the issued and paid-up share capital of Public Mutual Bhd for RM51mil. 

The wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Bank would buy 600,000 RM1 shares each of the Public Mutual shares from Cheng Poh Holdings Sdn Bhd, Public Bank said in a statement yesterday. 

It said the proposed acquisition was subject to the approval of the Securities Commission pursuant to the guidelines on unit trust funds. Upon completion of the acquisition, Public Mutual will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Public Bank. 

Public Mutual, presently a 90% indirect subsidiary of Public Bank, is the largest non-government linked unit trust fund manager in Malaysia with 29 unit trust funds and net asset value of funds under management of RM13.5bil as at April 30. – Bernama 



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Banking

A 25bp-Rise in Overnight Policy Rate

Bank Negara Malaysian (BNM) has announced an increase in the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25bp from 3.25% to 3.50%.

Another round of lending rates hike. We expect at least a 20bp adjustment in BLR by all banks in the next few days. There will be a positive impact on banks' interest margins in the short term. But in the longer term, stiff competition will continue to pressure interest margins.

Benefit banks with high variable-rate loans and low-cost deposits. Variable- rate loans will respond immediately to the expected 20bp change in BLR vs fixed-rate loans (mostly hire purchase loans). HP loans tend to take at least three years to see the re-price impact. Thus, banks with a higher exposure to variable loans will benefit. Banks with more low-cost deposits will also stand better in a rising interest rate environment. Among the banks with a higher exposure to variable-rate loans and more than 30% of low-cost deposits are Malaysian Plantations, RHB Capital, Bumiputra Commerce (BCHB) and Hong Leong Bank.






Loan
Deposit Structure

As at Dec 05
Fixed Rate
Variable Rate
Low Cost
High Cost


(% of total)
(% of total)
(% of total)
(% of total)

MPlant
17.3
82.7
31.0
69.0

RHB Cap
21.4
78.6
40.9
59.1

BCHB
36.8
63.2
40.3
59.7

Hong Leong Bank
42.7
57.3
31.4
68.6

Maybank
44.2
55.8
21.4
78.6

EON Cap
52.5
47.5
21.0
79.0

Affin
55.2
44.8
31.8
68.2

Public Bank
56.2
43.9
48.6
51.4

AMMB
61.6
38.4
17.5
82.5
Sector's Valuation






Price
Market
Net Profit
PER

NTA
Price/NTA

Company

@26/4/06
Cap.
2005
2006F
2007F
2005
2006F
2007F
ROE
ps
ps



(RM)
(RMm)
(RMm)
(RMm)
(RMm)
(x)
(x)
(x)
(%)
(RM)
(x)

Maybank
Buy
11.10
42,029
2,502.5
2,701.2
2,923.5
16.2
15.6
14.4
16.1
4.45
2.5

Public Bank
Hold
6.70
22,923
1,450.3
1,578.9
1,769.0
15.8
14.5
13.0
16.9
2.26
3.0

BCHB
Buy
6.30
19,757
826.8
1,241.0
1,461.1
20.9
15.4
13.1
8.9
3.29
1.9

Hong Leong Bank
Sell
5.15
8,138
519.7
585.2
634.9
15.5
13.9
12.8
11.8
2.77
1.9

AMMB
Sell
2.90
6,178
393.1
416.0
433.0
15.7
14.9
14.3
4.6
2.38
1.2

RHB Capital
Sell
2.45
4,468
315.8
366.9
381.5
14.1
12.2
11.7
7.2
1.82
1.3

MPlant
Buy
2.20
3,397
(169.5)
265.1
390.4
n.m
12.8
8.7
11.6
1.27
1.7

Sector


113,395
6,357.5
7,703.5
8,575.2
14.4
12.9
13.9
10.7

2.1



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Extracts fm thestar, Wednesday April 19, 2006


Public Bank Q1 net profit higher

PETALING JAYA: Public Bank Bhd posted a net profit of RM387mil for its first quarter ended March 31, an increase of 12% compared with RM345mil recorded in the corresponding 2005 quarter.   Its pre-tax profit stood at RM544mil, or 13% higher compared with RM479.6mil a year ago, while revenue was RM1.7bil against RM1.4bil previously.  

In a statement to Bursa Malaysia yesterday, chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow attributed the higher profit to growth in net interest income, net income from Islamic banking business and higher other operating income.  According to the statement, the group’s net interest income grew by 12% to RM672mil in the first quarter compared with the same period last year due to continued strong loans growth and sustained strong asset quality. 

It said net income from Islamic banking business rose 9% to RM105mil from the corresponding period last year on the back of strong deposit and financing growth.  The statement added that other operating income posted a 16% growth over the corresponding 2005 period to reach RM230mil, mainly due to higher foreign exchange gains, higher fees and transaction income from retail banking operations. 

The group’s commercial bank, Public Bank, registered a 25% increase in pre-tax profit compared with the first three months of last year, and accounted for 80% of the group’s pre-tax profit. 



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Public Bank - UOBKayHian


Extracts fm UOBKayHian Report dated 17-Feb-06,

Long-Term Gain But Short-Term Pain

Public Bank (PBB) is entering China through its latest acquisition in Hong Kong at an expensive valuation. Positive impact from this acquisition will be in the longer term, but in the short term, we are likely to see dilution in its earnings and NTA. We downgrade PBB from BUY to HOLD with entry price at RM6.05.

Expensive acquisition for no immediate earnings accretion. Through 64%-owned Hong Kong subsidiary JCG Holdings Ltd, PBB won the bid for Asia Commercial Bank (ACB) for HK$4.5b (RM2.2b) cash. The purchase price is 2.5x ACB’s book value of HK$1.8b (as at end-04) and 62x PE based on 1H05 net profit of RM36.3m. PBB is paying a premium of HK$2.7b (RM1.3b) for this acquisition. This is expensive and the value creation might not come in the next two years. After financing cost and forgoing interest earnings, PBB’s net profit would be diluted by 3% for FY06 and FY07. Its FY07F NTA will also be diluted by 10.7% from RM2.52/share to RM2.25.

Lower dividend yield. Dividend yield is expected to be lower from FY06 onwards. In FY05, dividend declared was 55sen/share, compared with 90sen in FY04. We expect this trend to continue as PBB is left with only one option to raise capital via Tier 1 hybrid capital. This option might be utilised for its expansion plan China and to acquire an insurance arm.

Downgrade to HOLD. At our FY07F NTA of RM2.25/share, PBB now trades at 3.0x P/NTA, very close to our fair valuation of 3.2x P/NTA or RM7.10/share. At RM7.10, PBB will trade at 13.7x FY07PE, down from 15.0x previously. This is fair given the slower earnings growth. Thus, we downgrade the stock from BUY to HOLD with entry price at RM6.05.



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Public Bank


BT, Published February 16, 2006
Public Bank unit buys Asia Commercial Bank for HK$4.5b, say sources

Deal will give M'sia bank a footprint in China, strengthen position in HK

(HONG KONG) A unit of Malaysia's Public Bank Bhd is paying HK$4.5 billion (S$944.6 million) in cash for the small Hong Kong banking arm of Asia Financial Holdings Ltd, sources familiar with the deal said. The purchase, called expensive by analysts, will give Malaysia's third-largest lender by assets a modest footprint in China and broaden its position in the saturated and fiercely competitive Hong Kong market, where its JCG arm takes deposits and offers other consumer finance services.

The deal - priced at 2.5 times Asia Commercial Bank's book value - is the most expensive Hong Kong bank sale since DBS Group Holdings paid 3.18 times book for Dao Heng Bank in late 2001 and may set a tempting precedent for smaller family-run banks in the city that have long resisted consolidation. The price is also much more expensive than the US$460 million, or two times book, that the market had expected and exceeds the entire US$488 million market capitalisation of Asia Financial. 'I don't see why they would want to expand at this kind of multiple,' said CLSA analyst Dominic Chan. 'That (price) clearly would involve some huge EPS (earnings per share) dilution at 2.5 times book value.'

Sources said Hong Kong-listed JCG Holdings Ltd, which is about 64 per cent owned by the Malaysian lender, was the winning bidder among nine finalists for Asia Commercial Bank, which has 12 Hong Kong branches and three mainland China outlets.

Asia Financial, looking to focus on its insurance business, hired JP Morgan Chase & Co in 2005 to sell its bank. In April 2005, Asia Financial teamed up with PICC Holdings Ltd - the parent of PICC Property and Casualty Co - Sumitomo Life Insurance and Bangkok Bank on a mainland life insurance joint venture. It is expected to invest proceeds from the bank sale into that business.

Asia Commercial is a bit player in a Hong Kong market dominated by HSBC Holdings, Bank of China (Hong Kong), Standard Chartered and Hang Seng Bank.

Public Bank's bid trumped that of the mainland's China Construction Bank Corp and Minsheng Banking Corp, both of which wanted Asia Commercial as a stepping-stone for overseas expansion. 'Some would say this is expensive because of the competitive environment but if you look at it as a controlling premium for a business franchise, it shouldn't be expensive,' said Chan Ken Yew, banking analyst with Kuala Lumpur-based OSK Securities. 'The purchase is positive for Public in the long run. And locally in Malaysia, the growth is somewhat saturated, so they need a growth path,' he added.

Asia Commercial Bank has just HK$14 billion in total assets, well shy of the HK$47 billion minimum requirement for inclusion in an economic partnership between Hong Kong and Beijing that helps local lenders expand on the mainland, CLSA's Mr Chan noted. Jasmine Lai, a banking analyst at DBS, said she did not see much synergy for JCG from the deal. CLSA's Mr Chan said he expects JCG to issue 567 million new shares, or almost 79 per cent of its existing 720 million shares, to pay for the deal, resulting in a sharp earnings per share dilution of 24 per cent. 'If 2.5 times book becomes the exit valuation for medium-sized banks, we see further upside on other smaller banks, where the average P/B (price-to-book value) is only 1.38 times, then we see further upside on the smaller banks,' he said. Other Hong Kong takeover targets include Liu Chong Hing Bank, which trades at one time book, Wing Lung Bank at about 1.45 times book, and Wing Hang Bank at about 2.05 times book, he said. - Reuters



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Public Bank - AMResearch


Extracts fm AMResearch dated 24-Jan-06, 

FY05 Finals : In Line

BUY Target Price: RM7.20


  • FY05 net profit of RM1.45bn (EPS of 42.4 sen) is in line with our estimate of RM1.44bn (EPS of 42.2 sen) and consensus forecast of RM1.42bn. The Group’s 4Q05 net profit of RM391m was the highest in its history.

  • The Bank has proposed a final gross dividend of 20 sen and special gross dividend of 15 sen, bringing total gross dividend for FY05 to 55 sen, slightly below our forecast of 60 sen. The total GDPS of 55 sen represents a net payout ratio of 90% of its net earnings of RM1.45bn in FY05.

  • Net interest income grew +7% YoY to RM2.48bn on the back of a +20% YoY increase in gross loans, but this was mitigated by a continued squeeze in net interest margin (NIM) to 2.48%-points from 2.90%-points in FY04.

  • Non-interest income showed a strong +18% YoY growth to RM1.32bn due mainly to unit trust management fees (+17% to RM136m) and gain on sale of trust units (+52% to RM133m). The former was in turn largely due to the launch of 7 new unit trust funds by subsidiary Public Mutual in FY05. However, these two income streams are relatively volatile and may not be sustainable in FY06. Included in non-interest income was unrealized gain on revaluation of securities held-fortrading of RM21m (FY04 : RM11m).


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Public Bank - HL


Extract fm HLG Research dated 24-Jan-06,

Still a quality and yield exposure

Record profit – RM1.45bn net, and above consensus dividend - 55sen
Operating profit (+2% qoq, +21% yoy, +13% 12M) grew on the back of continued revenue growth, both interest and non-interest income, and good cost control. Net profit expanded +13% qoq on lower provisions and effective tax rate. Full year PBT surpasses the RM2bn mark for the first time while net profit growth of 14% to RM1.45bn (EPS of 44.2sen) exceeds both market consensus and our estimates of 42.6sen and 43.3sen. Including final and special dividend of 20sen and 15sen, full year payout of 55sen (payout ratio of 90%) also exceeds market (50sen) and our estimate (35sen).

Loans & deposit growth cushion lending pressure; asset quality shines
FY05 loans growth of 20% – driven by mortgages, hire purchase and SMEs (72% of portfolio and forms 76% of RM27bn new loans approved), is more than double industry’s growth of 8-9%. Asset quality continues to strengthen, with group net NPL ratio sliding from 2.1% at end 2004 to 1.8% at 3Q05 and 1.7% at 4Q05 – substantially lower than industry’s average of 6% at Nov 2005. Loan loss coverage strengthens, up from 73.9% at end 2004 to 87% in June and 90% in Dec 05 vs industry’s Nov average of 52%. The strong loans and lower cost deposit growth of 16% to RM84.1bn cushion the pressure on lending rates - NIM on yielding assets eases from 4.1% to 3.6% while ROA eases to 2% from 2.4%. Loans-to-deposit ratio grew to 79.4% from 77.1%. Productivity is improving with cost-to-income ratio easing to 36.7% from 37.9% whilst operating overheads to average assets ratio drops to 1.4% from 1.7%. ROE improved to 21.4% from 18.2%, lifted by proactive capital management.<

Still a quality and yield play, maintain BUY
Public Bank benefits in the short -term on higher domestic interest rates, as lending rates are re-priced faster than deposit rates. This is not so over the longer term, as margin will continue to ease under competitive pressure while concerns on asset quality and loans growth will heighten. We hold our 8.8% forecast EPS growth for FY06, premised on moderating loans growth, ease in margin and provisioning. Maintain BUY, as we think Public Bank continues to offer quality, yield and defensive attributes. Adjusted for final and special dividends, RWCR and CAR is 15.9% and 10.2%.

Risks lies in steep slowdown in consumer spending
A slowdown in the domestic economy on the back of higher inflation and interest rate, will affect loans growth and asset quality.



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Public Bank


The Star, Tuesday January 24, 2006

Public Bank keen to expand into China

KUALA LUMPUR: Public Bank Bhd, which announced yesterday record profits for another year, signalled its intention to venture into China.  The bank, with the second largest amount of loans in the country, wants 100% stake in a bank in China but will consider owning less if there are synergies to be found with a joint-venture partner, according to managing director Datuk Seri Tay Ah Lek.  “We are looking at directly expanding into greater China,'' Tay told a media conference to announce Public Bank's 2005 financial year results.  He said Public Bank was ready to venture into China but would not use unit JCG Finance Co Ltd, now known as Public Finance Ltd, for the purpose. Public Finance has an asset base of HK$4.4bil but must have an asset base of US$6bil in order to qualify. “It will most probably be through a direct acquisition,'' he said. 

Although Public Bank has sufficient asset base to qualify for a branch in China, it must satisfy other conditions before it may be considered.  Funding any acquisitions in its China move can be through a number of ways, given the bank's strong capital base and it might consider issuing a hybrid Tier-1 capital. 

Plans for such an expansion was unveiled after the bank announced it had recorded a net profit of RM1.45bil, or 44.23 sen a share, for its financial year ended Dec 31, 2005, compared with a net profit of RM1.27bil, or 39.5 sen a share, a year earlier.  Revenue rose to RM5.9bil from RM5.04bil while pre-tax profit crossed the RM2bil mark for the first time in its history to RM2.05bil from RM1.85bil.  The bank also announced a final dividend of 20 sen a share less tax and a special dividend of 15 sen a share less tax. Including an interim dividend of 20 sen a share, total dividend for the year was 55 sen a share less tax.  Total dividend payout amount to RM1.3bil. 

“Total assets surpassed the RM100bil mark to stand at a record RM111.6bil, which is two-and-a-half times the group's asset size of RM45.3bil at end-2000,'' Public Bank chairman Tan Sri Teh Hong Piow said in a statement. 

Public Bank's net interest income and net Islamic banking financing income expanded by 7% to RM2.89bil. Other operating income grew 24% to RM918mil as a result of higher sales of unit trusts following the launch of seven new funds.  The bank’s loans grew by 20%, or RM11.2bil, to RM68.1bil at end-2005. Its loans had been growing at or above 20% each year since 2001 and that had enabled the group to become the second largest lender in the country with a 12% share, Teh said. “The group's lending activities continued to be focused on the retail sector, with consumer loans for the financing of residential properties and vehicle hire-purchase as well as commercial lending to SMEs accounting for 72% of the group's total loan portfolio and 76% of total new loans approved of RM27bil in 2005,'' he said. 

Public Bank has forecast loans to grow in the “high teens” in 2006, mainly due to the huge growth in the bank loans base over the past few years.  Tay said loans for the purchase of vehicles, which account for 25% of the bank's loans at RM16.7bil, would see “stable growth” this year and would be linked to car sales, which are expected to rise marginally this year.  He said the bank should also see “steady growth” in residential property loans, which account for 26%, or RM17.8bil, of the bank's loans base. 





Tay said Public Bank, which had made a bid for Asia General Holdings Ltd (AGHL) along with Southern Bank Bhd (SBB), was still interested in buying a life insurance company.  “Life insurance in Malaysia is relatively untapped and there is a business case for an insurance arm,'' he said. 

With SBB having aborted the RM2bil acquisition of AGHL after failing to obtain approval from Bank Negara, Public Bank senior general manager Leong Kwok Nyem said the bank now “intends to make a go at it (AGHL)''. 

On the outlook for Public Bank, Teh said it would continue to record “satisfactory performance” in 2006, adding that the implementation of the new accounting standards was expected to have a positive impact on the bank's bottom line.  “The Public Bank group's strong lower-cost deposit structure will provide it with the capacity to remain competitive in the lending business,'' he said. “Rising interest rates will also be a positive for interest margins, as loans re-price faster than deposits in the rising interest rate environment.'' 



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Public Bank - Kim Eng


Extracts fm Kim Eng Report dated 19-Oct-05, 


  • Slightly ahead of expectations - Pretax profit and EPS rising by 11% each for the 9-month period. The Malaysian operations saw a 8% rise in pretax profit, and contributed 85% to Group pretax profit while its overseas operations (mainly in Hong Kong) saw a steeper 35% rise in profit. Net interest margins fell 0.5%, but net interest income increased by 8%, due to (a) annualised loan growth of 19% in the 9-month period (b) decent growth of 11-12% in low-cost deposits and (c) further improvement in asset quality. Non interest income was up 25% thanks to higher sales of unit trusts as a result of new launches and higher management fees. Even with slower economic conditions, the Group’s gross and net NPL ratios (3-month) improved to 2.1% and 1.8% as of Sep 2005 from 2.7% and 2.1% in Dec 2004 respectively. Costs were under control, with cost-income ratio of 36.8% in Sep 2005 (Dec 2004:38.2%). Retail lending was the main focus, accounting for a larger share of 65% of Group loans, helped by double-digit growth in residential mortgages, financing for passenger vehicles and loans to small & medium enterprises. Public Bank Berhad (PBB) did not declare any dividend in the 3Q, after paying a gross dividend of 20 sen per share in 1H05.

  • Raised EPS estimates by 1-3% - The Malaysian operations continue to gain market share, with loan growth of closer to 20% in 2005 and 15% in 2006, above industry average of 8%, and it is on track to achieve cost-income ratio of 35% in 2006/07. Asset quality is unlikely to be an issue, but interest margins remain under pressure with little reprieve until interest rates start to rise in Malaysia. The high-end property market is a little frothy, but fortunately PBB’s exposure is very small. Elsewhere, JCG Holdings Limited is on track to grow its profit by at least 30% in 2005. PBB is still striving to attain a ROE of 20%, but we suspect it is unlikely to declare any special dividends this year, now that its core capital ratio is down to 10.9% as at Sep 2005 which is pretty close to its target of 10%.

  • Still looking to expand into life insurance - Undeterred by its failed bid for Asia General Holdings Limited, PBB is still on the lookout for life insurance business in Malaysia. Elsewhere, we believe PBB has no acquisition desires in the banking business in Malaysia and prefers to grow its assets organically. Outside Malaysia, assets of interests would be consumer banking in Hong Kong or China which offer management control.

  • BUY maintained - PBB remains our pick for investors wishing to have an exposure to Malaysian banking stocks, notwithstanding its premium valuations. Conservative management, excellent financial track record and strong capital strength are its strong points, which are essential for survival in the current uncertain economic environment


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