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Post Info TOPIC: Ascott REIT


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RE: Ascott REIT


ASCOTT REITS, cl remains a BUY with target price $2.41 (from $2.16)

  • The recent announcement of the F1 Grand Prix in Singapore has propelled Singapore into a tourist receipts magnet. The government.s ambitious target of attracting 17 million visitors by 2015 is underpinned by strong FDI inflows, the two integrated resorts, MICE activities, medical tourism hub status, leisure travel as well as the F1 Grand Prix. Tourist arrivals are expected to outstrip supply of hotels rooms and we remain convicted that ART.s Revpar is set to increase further in Singapore. Maintain BUY
  • Grand Prix spillover . The Singapore government announced on 11 May 2007 that the city state will host the first street circuit F1 race in Asia. Flag off is expected to commenced in 4Q08 and generate receipts estimated at S$100m annually. Consequently, this has seen hotel rates and even some serviced apartment rates increasing by at least 50% during race periods and 20% annually. Given that these races can stretch as long as a week, we expect some spillover demand for serviced apartments which is currently regulated for stays longer than seven days.
  • Robust FDI inflows . The increasing FDI inflows into the Asia region reaffirm our bullish view on ART, especially in Singapore where FDI inflows are estimated to reach US$19.9bn in 2007. Coupled with the government.s efforts to draw 17 million visitors by 2015 through the slew of massive projects, we expect positive impact on the Revpar for serviced apartments and hotels. Accordingly, Revpar in Singapore is at record highs of S$176.8 and we have assumed S$191 in our model. Despite new supply for hotels and serviced apartments in the pipeline, we expect demand to outstrip supply given the timing lag of oncoming supply.
  • Diversified revenue base . Strong FDI inflows into Asia and ART.s diversified asset base across the Pan Asian region in our view are the pillars of growth and stability for the reit. Currently, Singapore contributes 24% of ART.s revenue and we expect the strong demand for hotel rooms and serviced apartments in Singapore should continue to bode well for its Singapore operations.
  • Maintain BUY. In tandem with the narrowing yield gap of S-Reits with the Singapore 10yr bond yields, we have lowered our required yield by 50bps to 4.5% from the previous 5%. This implies a 20% upside from our target price of S$2.41 based on FY08's DPU of 10.8c and a 4.6% dividend yield for FY07.


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Extracted from DMG Daily.

Singapore's Ascott unit to buy property in India for S$15.42m

The Ascott Group said its unit Ascott (Mauritius) Co Ltd will invest about S$15.42m to take a 40 pct stake in a property in India. The stake purchase is part of its agreement with India's

The Rattha Group, announced in August 2006, to jointly invest US$220m to acquire and develop seven properties in the country by 2010. Rattha will hold the remaining stake in the 300-unit service apartment, Citadines Chennai OMR Gateway, expected to open in the first half of 2010.

Ascott, the serviced apartments arm of CapitaLand, will manage the property for 10 years with the option of renewing the contract for a further 10 years.


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Ascott REIT - OCBC


20-Mar-2007

Maintain HOLD

Cash call to raise S$199m.
Ascott Residence Trust (ART) recently announced its intention to issue 105.3m new units to raise S$199m via an Equity Fund Raising exercise. The new units will increase ART's existing number of units by about 21%. So far, the placement tranche, which makes up 47% of the new units, has had overwhelming response with demand exceeding supply by 15 times at S$1.90/unit. Similarly, the retail tranche (making up about 8% of new units) was fully taken up via ATM within a day of its launch. The only portion left is the amount allocated to existing unitholders. This portion makes up about 45% of the new units and unit-holders have until 20th Mar to accept the offer. We do not see demand from existing unit-holders as being any less enthusiastic. So the S$199m new equity is almost certainly in the bag.

We expected the cash call.
In our Jan 07 report, we had articulated that a cash call from ART was imminent. This was because as of end Dec 06, ART's gearing of 29% (and with no credit ratings) left not much headroom for more debt. Furthermore, it had already announced S$266m of acquisitions which had yet to be completed. With the expected new equity and the newly assigned credit rating, we estimate that ART could raise a further S$192m worth of debt and still maintain its gearing at a comfortable 45%. (Gearing of 60% is allowable for REIT with credit rating.)

ART targeting S$2.0bn size by end 08
. With the announced acquisition so far, we expect ART to reach an asset size of S$1.2bn fairly soon. This is a rapid 32% rise in size since its IPO in 1Q06. Going forward, we do not anticipate this rapid growth rate to slowdown anytime soon. ART has guided for an asset size of S$2.0n by end 2008. There is a good possibility of ART exceeding this and we see a S$2.5bn size as easily achievable with the bulk of acquisitions coming from its parent The Ascott Group.

Revised up fair value to S$1.94 on lesser dilution
. In our fair value estimate, we had allowed for ART target size of S$2.5bn. However, with the higher price of the new units, fewer units will be issued to finance its acquisition led growth strategy. This lower cost of equity in turn has a positive impact on our valuation. We have thus marginally adjusted up our fair value estimate from S$1.82 to S$1.94. We maintain our HOLD rating on ART.

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Ascott REIT


BT, Published March 14, 2007

ART's ATM offering of 8m units fully subscribed

ASCOTT Residence Trust (ART), which is selling 105.3 million new units to raise $199 million, yesterday said that the ATM offering of 8 million units at $1.90 per unit was fully subscribed by retail investors yesterday. The news follows Monday's announcement that the 47.3 million new units offered to institutional and other investors on that day were more than 15 times subscribed. Another 49.9 million units are being offered to existing stockholders at $1.88 apiece. The stock offered to existing stakeholders is based on one new share for every 10 they own, ART said.

ART is raising the $199 million to finance the acquisition of five properties in Australia, Japan, the Philippines and Vietnam.

'We are pleased that the ATM offering of 8 million new units was fully taken up, as this demonstrates that retail investors have endorsed our latest acquisitions and equity fund raising exercise,' said Chong Kee Hiong, chief executive of the trust's management team. 'ART will continue to pursue its proven acquisition strategy of acquiring yield-accretive assets in the pan-Asian region to achieve our target portfolio value of about $2 billion by end-2008.'

ART owns some of the properties managed by The Ascott Group, which is the biggest operator of serviced residences in Asia and Europe. Ascott is also expanding to increase the number of apartment units to 25,000 by 2010, from more than 19,000 at present.

Once the acquisitions and the fund raising are complete, unitholders of ART can expect a higher annualised distribution per unit (DPU) of 7.28 cents in 2007. This is an 11.5 per cent increase over the annualised forecast DPU of 6.53 cents in 2007 for the 14 properties in ART's portfolio before the acquisition.

ART's shares closed 8 cents down at $2.00 yesterday. The new units are expected to begin trading on March 26.



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BT, March 14, 2007, 9.12 am (Singapore time)

CapitaLand cuts Ascott trust stake to 37%

SINGAPORE - South-east Asia's largest property developer
CapitaLand said on Wednesday it would sell 100 million units in Ascott Residence Trust, reducing its interest to 37.3 per cent from 53.8 per cent. The property developer said in a statement that it would place out 100 million Ascott trust units at $1.90 each to JP Morgan (S.E.A.) Ltd, which would in turn get buyers for the units. CapitaLand said the sale would result in $30.3 million profit after tax and minority interests.



Ascott trust, a property trust spun off by serviced apartment firm Ascott, said on Monday that it will raise about $199 million for acquisitions by selling new units. The placement includes a non-renounceable preferential 1-for-10 rights offering of 49.94 million new units at an issue price of between $1.83 and $1.88 a unit. The trust will also offer up to 50.17 million new units to institutional investors and 8 million new shares to retail investors, in both cases priced at between $1.85 and $1.90 a unit. JP Morgan is managing the deal. -- REUTERS



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Ascott REIT - DBS


9-Feb-2007

Equity Raising

Equity fund raising.
ART has proposed to raise gross proceeds of S$199m to part finance a target acquisition of five properties. Certain part of the proceeds will also be used to re-finance loans drawn for the acquisition of a 26.8% effective interest in the Vietnam Target Property, which was completed in Jan 2007 as well as other general corporate and working capital purposes. With the completion of the equity fund raising, the trust’s annualised 2007 forecast DPU will rise from 6.53 cents to 7.14 cents, an increase of 9.4%.

Maintain Buy with target price of S$2.20.
As ART is the only pan-Asian serviced apartment trust, there’s little competition in acquiring properties to enhance their portfolio. We have revised our 2007 DPU estimates upwards from 5.2 cents to 6.7 cents due to lower provision of income tax from 18% to 15%. Projected MI is also reduced following management’s guidance in the latest circular. We expect earnings to continue to grow given the management’s plan to achieve property portfolio of S$2b by 2008. We maintain our fair value of S$2.20, backed by our DCF calculations. Maintain Buy.

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Ascott REIT - Lim and Tan


Extracts fm Lim and Tan report dated 24-Nov-06, 


  • ART has acquired the Oakwood Premier Ayala Center in Makati City in the Philippines for US$53 mln (S$84.4 mln):

    • its 3rd acquisition in 6 months,
    • second from a third party, and
    • the 3rd property in Makati City in the Philippines, the other 2 being Somerset Millennium and Somerset Salcedo.

  • Ths significance of the latest acquisition lies in:

    • it is highly yield accretive, providing an annualized property yield of 11% vs the annualized portfolio yield of 4.9% and ART’s current trading yield of 4.7%.
    • it raises group profit by 15% to $56.1 mln.

  • ART now owns and manages 15 properties with a combined 2,610 units, in 6 countries.
  • We maintain BUY.


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Ascott REIT - OCBC


Extracts fm OCBC Report dated 26-Oct-06,

Valuation upgrade on favourable outlook

Decent showing. Ascott Residence Trust (ART) reported a decent set of results for the period from 31 Mar to 30 Sep 2006. Revenue came in at S$52.3m, 1% lower than its own forecast, but distributable income of S$14.3m was 2% higher than forecast. Distributable income per unit (DPU) of 3.14 cents was 2% higher than its forecast. Singapore and Philippines were the star performers, but this was dragged down by China which reported lower than expected revenue and gross profit due to the expiry of leases from key accounts.

Bought Tianjin and Roppongi. In the last quarter, ART made 2 acquisitions, a 90% stake in a 30-storey mixed development with 172 service apartments in Tianjin worth S$75.6m and a 40% stake in a 13-storey apartment block with 64 service apartments in Roppongi worth S$20.7m. More importantly, as these properties were bought with an ungeared property yield of 5.0% to 7.0%, we see accretion from these assets. However, as completion is slated for early 4Q, we do not expect significant contribution in 2006. We thus maintain our FY06/07F forecast for now.

Liquidity improved slightly. To finance the above acquisitions, ART had placed out 44m units at S$1.10 per unit. This has increased ART's freefloat from about 23% to about 30%. The bulk of the units continue to be held by CapitaLand (70% effective stake). We see this  o be the key impediment for the unit's performance, as the market continues to worry of possible overhang of units coming from CapitaLand's stake.

Maintain BUY. Since our last report in July, ART has appreciated over 20% from S$1.08 to S$1.30. Outlook for ART remains good, with organic growth benefiting from the improving macro environment in which it operates and visible stream of assets acquisitions from its parent, The Ascott Group. We have revised up ART's target size from S$2.0bn to S$2.5bn with a portfolio gearing of 40%. This in turn has a positive effect on our fair value which we revised up from S$1.32 to S$1.46. We continue to like ART for its growth prospects as well as its defensive nature (as reflected by its low price-to-book of 1.0x) and high DPU yield of about 5.0% (FY07F). We thus maintain our BUY rating.



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Ascott REIT - Lim and Tan


Extracts fm Lim and Tan Report dated 20-Sep-06,

Reaching Out To More Investors


  • ART has, through JP Morgan, placed out 44 mln new units to more than 15 institutional investors from Asia, Australia and Europe, at $1.10 each.
  • The placement is standard practice of reits after making acquisitions; in ART’s case, raising $48.4 mln gross, to finance the acquisition of Somerset Olympic Tower in Tianjin, China, and Somerset Ropongi Tokyo in Japan.
  • The placement has diluted Ascott Holdings’ stake to 22.8% from 25%, and CapitaLand’s from 50.9% to 46.4%.
  • We maintain BUY. At $1.14, and annualizing its maiden distribution (1.71 cents for period Mar 31st to Jun 30th), ART offers a yield of almost 6%.


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Ascott REIT - OCBC


Extracts fm OCBC Report dated 25-Jul-06,

Maiden acquisition

Good maiden result. Ascott Residence Trust (ART) reported its maiden results with 2Q06 coming in above its own IPO forecast. For the quarter, revenue was S$26.2m with distributable income of S$7.7m. These numbers were 4% and 15% above ART's own IPO forecasts. At the distributable income per unit (DPU) level, ART reported 1.69 cents for 2Q06 or about 5% above our forecast. The better results were attributed to higher revenue per available unit (RevPau) achieved in most markets and better operating efficiency.

Maiden acquisition in Tianjin. In conjunction with the result, ART has also announced its first acquisition. It is buying a 30-storey mixed development with 172 service apartments in Tianjin worth S$75.6m, giving a property yield of 7.0%. This asset is currently managed by The Ascott Group (TAG) and is part of the 45 third-party properties (worth S$1.50b) that TAG manages. More importantly, as the acquired property provides a yield of 135bp above ART's trading yield, we see the acquisition as earnings accretive. The latest news is in line with our initiation report where we articulated that ART is likely to use acquisition as a route for earnings growth.

Possible unit overhang. The main risk to ART comes from its multicountry revenue sources. In addition, ART has a free float of only about 23%, with the balance of units being held by The Ascott Group (30% stake) and CapitaLand (47% stake). There is a high probability of overhang of units coming from CapitaLand's stake.

Maintain BUY, but moderating fair value to S$1.32. Even though the outlook for ART is positive, it is not immune to the macro environment of rising interest rates which translate to higher cost of capital. Hence, ART needs to issue more units to acquire (compared to low interest rate environment) which means dilution to its valuation. We have thus revised down our fair value from S$1.50 to S$1.32. In terms of recommendation, we continue to like ART for its growth prospects as well as its defensive nature (as reflected by its low price-to-book of 0.82x) and high DPU yield of 5.7%. We thus maintain our BUY rating on ART.



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Ascott REIT


BT, Published July 25, 2006

ART results better than expected

Its net distributable income for the quarter is $7.8m, 11 per cent higher than its forecast

ASCOTT Group's Ascott Residence Trust (ART), which was listed on the Singapore Exchange in March, released its maiden quarterly results yesterday and announced a net distributable income of $7.8 million, 11 per cent higher than its forecast. Distribution per unit (DPU) for the period March 31 to June 30 is 1.71 cents, 0.16 cents above its forecast of 1.55 cents. Annualised DPU is 6.80 cents, 0.69 cents above its forecast of 6.11 cents.

ART also announced that it will make its first acquisition of a 172-unit serviced residence in Tianjin called Somerset Olympic Tower, owned by an affiliate company of GIC Real Estate and Consco Investment. It will pay US$24.3 million for the development which also includes a three-storey retail podium. The acquisition will be funded by equity and bank debt. It is yield accretive at an annualised property yield of 7 per cent compared to the annualised portfolio yield of 4.7 per cent. The property has an 'enterprise value' of US$47.25 million. ART's portfolio will increase from $856 million to $931 million.

On raising equity, ART manager Ascott Residence Trust Management Ltd's CEO Chong Kee Hiong said this would enable the Reit to increase the size of its current float. ART's gearing ratio will also increase from 28.1 per cent to 29.7 per cent. Mr Chong said its current gearing ratio will give the Reit, which now has 13 properties, the opportunity for future acquisitions.

Although the acquisition emphasises the Reit strategy to invest in Pan-Asian properties, China properties make up the largest percentage of its business, which now stands at 41 per cent, followed by 21.5 per cent in Singapore, 19.6 per cent in Vietnam, 14.8 per cent in Indonesia and 3.1 per cent in the Philippines. China properties, however, were the only ones that registered a dip in Revpau (revenue per available unit) of about 3 per cent. The highest Revpau growth of 25 per cent was registered in the Philippines, followed by 13 per cent in Singapore, 8 per cent in Indonesia and 7 per cent in Vietnam. Addressing this, Mr Chong said that it would embark on asset enhancement for two properties in Shanghai and Beijing.



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Ascott REIT - UOBKayHian


Extracts fm UOBKayHian Report dated 25-Jul-06,

ART reports first distribution - 11% higher than forecast. Makes its first acquisition of Olympic Tower, Tianjin Business District ART announced its results for the quarter ended 30 June 06 yesterday.


  • Distribution per unit (DPU) of 1.71 cents was declared, which is 11% above forecast. This represents an annualised yield of 6.4% based on the closing price of S$1.92 per unit on 21 July. 
  • Revenue was S$26.5m, in line with forecast. Gross profit and total return were S$13.1m and S$4.1m respectively.
  • The positive results were underpinned by an overall RevPAU growth of 7% in the second quarter for its 12 properties. Singapore and Philippines experienced double digit increases of 13% and 25% respectively.
  • For the full year 2006, it is confident of delivering the forecast distribution per unit of 6.11 cents
  • In addition, ART announced its first acquisition of the Somerset Olympic Tower in Tianjin Business District for US$47.25m (S$75.6m) from an affiliate company of GIC Real Estate and Consco Investment.
  • The acquisition will be funded by equity and debt. ART’s gearing ratio will increase from 28.1% to 29.7%, giving it the opportunity for further acquisitions.
  • Somerset Olympic Tower is a 30-storey mixed development property with 172 serviced residence units and a three-storey retail podium. It enjoys an occupancy level of about 90%.
  • The acquisition is yield accretive to ART at an annualised property yield of 7%. Upon completion of the acquisition, targeted to be in Oct 06, ART will own 90% of the serviced residence portion of Somerset Olympic Tower and assume the lease for the commercial portion.

ART is the first Pan-Asian serviced residence Reit. Comprising an initial asset portfolio of over 2,000 units in 12 strategically located serviced residences and rental housing property in Singapore, China, Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, ART currently has an asset size of about S$856m. China properties make up the largest percentage of business (41%) followed by Singapore (21.5%), Vietnam (19.6%), Indonesia (14.8%) and Philippines (3.1%) With its latest acquisition, its portfolio will increase to S$931m.

Going forward, ART will benefit from the positive business conditions in Asia as the region continues to be the fastest growing region in the world and a favoured destination for FDI from multinational corporations. It also has asset enhancement plans for two properties in China which could further enhance yields.



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Ascott REIT


Ascott Residence Trust reports distributable income of S$7.8m

Ascott Residence Trust has reported a maiden distributable income of S$7.8 million, beating its own forecast by 11 percent. This works out to a distribution per unit of 1.7 cents in the period between March 31 and June 30. Ascott says it is confident of delivering the forecast distribution per unit of 6.1 cents for the full year.

Going forward, it will seek to improve its results through yield management, asset enhancements and acquisitions.

At the same time, it announced its first acquisition in China's Tianjin business district. It will buy the Somerset Olympic Tower for US$47.3 million, or S$75.6 million. Somerset Olympic Tower is a 30-storey mixed development property with 172 serviced residence units and a three-storey retail podium. Ascott will own 90 per cent of the serviced residence portion of Somerset Olympic Tower and assume the lease for the commercial portion. Chong Kee Hiong, Chief Executive Officer, Ascott Residence Trust, said: "This acquisition has a property yield of 7 percent which is way above our current portfolio yield of about 4 over percent. So it's a very accretive acquistion." The acquisition is expected to be completed by October 2006. - CNA/ch



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By Huiwen Yang
June 29 (Bloomberg) -- Ascott Group Ltd.'s property trust, which owns 12 serviced apartments in Asia worth S$856 million, said it's planning acquisitions to push its assets ``across the psychological S$1 billion ($625 million) mark'' in six to 12
months.

Ascott Residence Trust, which was set up by Ascott Group, the biggest serviced-apartment operator in Asia and Europe, plans to buy properties in Thailand, Japan, China and Vietnam, said Chong Kee Hiong, chief executive officer of the trust's manager, in an interview on June 27. ``We definitely plan to add more properties and we are looking at many,'' Chong said at a real estate conference in
Singapore. ``One of our strategies is growth and acquisition, sowe are definitely looking at that.''

Ascott's trust was the first among Singapore's 10 property trusts that went public with assets beyond the city-state. The trust was set up to expand by acquiring more properties, while the Singapore-based serviced-apartment operator focuses on
winning contracts to manage the assets. ``Demand for service residences will still be very strong in Asia. It's a matter of executing their acquisition strategy and delivering distributable growth to unit holders,'' said David Lum, senior investment analyst at Daiwa Institute of Research, who has a ``hold'' recommendation on the stock.

Acquisitions will come from purchases of properties from Ascott and other owners that are up to the trust's ``international standard'' in terms of branding and quality,
said Chong. The trust plans to use a combination of shares and debt to fund future acquisitions, he said. The trust may also benefit from news that China may announce rules this month aimed at curbing foreign investment in real estate to prevent an oversupply of property. ``That is actually good for serviced residences because
prices will come down to more realistic levels,'' Chong said. ``That's where it benefits us when we go in to acquire assets.'' In jurisdictions where there are restrictions on foreign ownership, finding good joint venture partners is one challenge, he said, as the trust prefers full ownership. He didn't say which countries limit foreign ownership of properties. Assets in Singapore would probably be packaged with those in markets such as China before Ascott sells them to the trust,
because returns are lower in the city-state, which is a more mature and stable market, he said.

-- Edited by tfwee at 01:18, 2006-07-01

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BT, Published March 10, 2006
Investors cast eyes on Ascott Reit

MARKET players said investors appear to like Ascott Residence Trust's (ART) investment story and prospects for growth through acquisitions.

Yesterday saw the first day of trading of entitlements given to shareholders of The Ascott Group to subscribe for units in ART at a preferential price of $0.68 per unit, which provides investors a forecast annualised distribution yield of 9 per cent for 2006. The $0.68 price is a 48.1 per cent discount to the net asset value per unit of $1.31.

The entitlements were last traded at $0.495 yesterday. Based on the sum of the last traded price of the entitlements and the preferential offer price, the implied annualised yield for ART for 2006 is 5.2 per cent. The last day of trading for the entitlements is March 17 and the preferential offer closes on March 23. Trading in ART, the world's first serviced apartment real estate investment trust (Reit), is expected to commence on the Singapore Exchange on March 31.

Speaking to BT, Chong Kee Hiong, CEO of Ascott Residence Trust Management, which manages ART, said: 'Institutional investors we spoke to on our roadshows in Asia, Europe and Australia are positive about ART.'

Mr Chong said: 'ART stands out among accommodation/hospitality Reits because earnings from serviced apartments are the most resilient.'

He added: 'ART's properties occupy good locations in high growth cities.' ART has an initial portfolio of 12 properties located in Singapore, China, Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines, worth $856 million.

Under the preferential offer, every Ascott shareholder can get 200 ART units for every 1,000 Ascott shares held, at a price of $0.68 per unit.



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